political campaigns

Nov 042012
 
Tony Santos, Benny Lee and Hendy Huang

Benny Lee (center) with former Mayor Tony Santos (left) and supporter Hendy Huang.

Lee’s mailer highlights bad decision-making by Shelia Young and Tony Santos

I am the volunteer campaign manager for  Chris Crow, who is running for San Leandro City Council District 4, so when I received a mailer from his opponent, Benny Lee, I was quite interested in reading it.  I was expecting he’d use the mailer to answer criticisms about his lack of concrete proposals on how to move San Leandro forward.

Instead, his mailer focused on criticizing the City for three poor decisions made in the last decade.  Surprisingly, these were all done while two of his endorsers, Shelia Young and Tony Santos, were Mayor of San Leandro.  Two of his other endorsers, O.B. Badger and Ursula Reed, were in the City Council at the time.  Tony Santos, in particular, has been Benny Lee’s mentor and they are staunch allies.

The first issue Lee brings up is a loan guarantee the City gave to a private company – with Shelia Young’s approval.  The borrowers defaulted, the lender wants the City to pay up, and we may be on the hook for millions of dollars.

Another has to do with a city street apparently under foreclosure.  Lee’s mailer is not clear on the particulars, but it shows the matter going back to  2005, when Shelia Young was Mayor and Badger and Santos were in the City Council.

Finally, the mailer points out the City could have saved millions by refinancing its pension liabilities when interest rates first fell several years ago.  He is right, but both the Young and Santos administration ignored this issue.  It wasn’t until Stephen Cassidy became mayor that the debt was refinanced.

Lee could have pointed out many other bad decisions past City Councils have made, such as having the City pay the employee’s portion of their pensions, engaging in the Faith Fellowship and Albertson’s litigations  (which combined cost the city about $7,000,000) and not handling the sex and race discrimination issues at the Police Department before getting sued.

I agree with Lee’s tacit conclusion that both Tony Santos and Shelia Young, and more recently Reed, appear to have done less than a competent job while in the Council.   But there is no reason to suspect Lee will do any better.  On his mailer he calls himself a “financial analyst” and promises to fix the city’s budget problems, but a quick look at his resume shows that his actual expertise is in IT, with a focus on financial computer systems.   His promise to search through the city budget for savings seems disingenuous when he could have easily done so already. The budget is available for download at the city’s website.

And indeed, Lee has given us a hint of the type of decisions he will make if elected.  For example, he would kick a green-energy company out of town, because he fears the lone wind turbine they want to install will give his wife headaches.  He would ban marijuana dispensaries because a friend became addicted to alcohol as a teen and then died of cirrhosis (yes, I fail to see the connection as well).  He would get rid of RCV purportedly because Chinese Americans are unable to understand how to vote.  And he would not make Police officers have to pay their share of pension contributions.  In return, the Police union has spent more than $7,500 to get him elected.

Now, given that I support Chris Crow, it’s not surprising that I’m unimpressed by Lee.  What is surprising is how unimpressed he seems to be with the people who endorsed him.

Nov 032012
 

Dear Rob,

I just got *yet another* campaign mailer maligning your opponent, Abel Guillen.  This is the /twelfth/ mailer I get that supports you.  It’s the second that’s negative towards Abel.  The first one was put out by an independent committee, but this one comes straight out of your campaign.

Really, Rob?  Did you need to do that? Sure, Abel sent a negative mailer against you (and a pretty good one), but it was one of just two mailers we got supporting him.  We got twelve supporting you!  All pretty much repeating the same platitudes (would it be so hard to actually share your platform or any concrete proposal in /one/ of your mailers? I know your parents worked with César Chávez and that you are in favor of education, what else do you have to offer?), this one also attacks Abel.

Look, Rob, you are going to win.  All the money you spent, coupled with the hundreds of thousands of dollars PACs have spent on your behalf, will make sure you do.  And I think you will do a good job, even though all that money indebts you to so many special interest groups.  You are smart, you understand the issues and how to approach them, you are a careful thinker and I think you have solid Democratic values.  That’s why I endorsed you a year ago, and kept my endorsement even though now I support Abel.  I also think you are ethical – though beware that politics threatens everyone’s moral core.  I think you will become one of the stars of the Democratic Party.  I look forward to seeing you in that role

Your bright political future is even more of a reason to refrain from attacking Abel.  At this point in the race, with 12 mailers for you versus 2 for him, why the need to be petty?  Why create enemies and leave a sour taste in the mouths of voters?  Don’t we have enough acrimony in the Presidential race?  And did you forget the campaign maxim that you attack when you think you’ll lose, and you are graceful when you think you’ll win? Don’t you think you’ll win?

And Rob, one last thing.  Twelve mailers is way too much.  How many hundreds of thousands of dollars have you and your supporters spent on them?  You talk about being all for education, but why not just send 6 (still 3 times more than Guillen), and give the rest of the money to the schools?  Here, in San Leandro, we could afford to keep our music and arts program for at least a year with that money.

Thanks for reading,

Margarita Lacabe

This letter has also been posted on Rob Bonta’s Facebook page

Oct 312012
 

Just last year, California Assembly Member Mary Hayashi was convicted of stealing over $2,000 worth of clothing from Neiman Marcus in San Francisco.  She made excuse after excuse (she was distracted and forgot to pay for the items, she had a brain tumor) but her movements were observed and filmed from the moment she came into the store, and the story she told the media was clearly a lie.  The San Francisco Sheriff’s department has refused to release the tape, but the police report about the incident describes all her movement within the store.

Like many, I thought that was the end of her political career – but the woman has chutzpah and she’s now running for Alameda County Supervisor.  What’s worse is that she has a very good chance of winning.

Her opponent, Richard Valle, has been unwilling to bring up her shoplifting conviction.  Whether that’s strategic or because it conflicts with his ethical values, I don’t know.  There have been nary a public criticism of Mary’s actions by any Democratic officials.  Indeed, when the Alameda County Democratic Central Committee (ACDCC) interviewed the candidates, I was the only member who asked asked Mary a question referring to her shoplifting.  Even then, I had to be very subtle to get the party chair to accept my question.

During the discussion period, several ACDCC members praised Valle, but once again none of them was willing to say something negative about Mary.  I was the only one to point out that her dishonesty brings shame to the party.  Valle got the endorsement, but that alone won’t guarantee him a victory.

I don’t know why there is such a reluctance among democrats to criticize Mary publicly, but I can guess that it’s because she is still very powerful, and very vindictive.  Everyone fears the political consequences of becoming her enemy.  I understand.  As payment for my words, Hayashi made a point of voting for the endorsement of a City Council candidate that’s running against Chris Crow, the candidate I support.  She did not cast a vote on most other races.

Finally, one group has been willing to bring up the issue of her conviction into the Supervisor race.  Mary has received copious campaign contributions from the medical industry and has paid them back by broadening doctor’s monopoly on health issues.  This has specially harmed physical therapists, who are now hitting back.  They’ve sent out a mailer to registered voters “featuring the convicted shoplifter from Sacramento” with the headline “There is something about Mary.”  As far as attack mailers go, it’s pretty good.  Take a look.

Oct 162012
 

Election Digest slate mailer from June 2012

If you are a frequent voter, chances are that you will get a lot of political mail this month.  Most will be mailers touting a candidate or promoting or opposing a proposition or measure.  But you will also get at least one slate mailer, probably more.  These mailers come with titles that suggest they are sponsored by specific organizations. “Firefighters recommend,” “The Nurses guide”, “Democratic guide”, etc. etc.  In reality, they are commercial ventures owned by private companies that sell space on their slates to political candidates.  Usually candidates for the top offices are included for free, both because the candidates wouldn’t pay to be on the slates and because the other candidates want to be associated with them.  But pretty much anyone running for local office will have to pay – how much will depend on the office (the higher the office, the greater the expense) and the number of voters who will receive the slate mailer.  In addition to paid candidates, the slate mailers include recommendations for positions to be taken on particular propositions.  These are usually paid as well.

While slate mailers can seem partisan – by using the name of a political party or a particular cause or by the choice of presidential/governor candidate they feature -, in reality they will take anyone who pays. The “Election Digest” slate mailer, for example, usually features Democratic top-ticket candidates, but it drew attention in Southern California when it included both President Obama and a candidate for judge who is a well-known “birther” and had been working to disqualify Obama from appearing on the state ballots.   The judge won.

In San Leandro, several candidates for the 2014 election are paying to be included in mailers. Deborah Cox and Corina Lopez have both sunk over $3K in mailers.  They will both appear in the “Voter Guide“, which comes in Democratic,  Republican and independent versions featuring the national and state partisan candidates for each party, included for free, and the local candidates that pay for inclusion.  Thus you may very well find Cox or Lopez appear in both the Democratic voter guide and the Republican cone.  Cox paid $1249 to be included in this guide, while Lopez just $712.

Cox and Lopez will also appear in the  “Californians Vote Green“, for which Cox paid $992 while Lopez paid just $422.  Cox and Lopez will be joined by Mayoral Candidate Pauline Cutter in the COPS voter guide. Cox got a good deal on this one, she only paid $741 while both Cutter and Lopez ponied up $889.  The three are also featured together in the  “California Latino Voters Guide,” which is sent just to Latino voters, though only Lopez is Latino.  Perhaps that’s why she only had to pay $350, while Cox and Cutter paid $400.

Shut out of the apparently more popular guides, District 1 candidate David Anderson paid $500 to appear in the Democratic Voters Choice slate mailer. I look forward to seeing him there.

Of course, the candidates may still appear on other slate mailers that they had not paid for – or disclosed – by the end of September.

Do Slate Mailers work?

Candidates use them because they are cheaper than sending their own mailers (a mailer sent just to the most frequent voters in San Leandro will cost about $9,000) and because they fear that if they don’t put their names on them, their opponents might.   Experts believe that mailers do work.  If nothing else, it helps build name recognition for the candidate and associates him with some cause or top-tier candidate voters support.

In my experience, however, commercial slate mailers don’t seem to make that much of a difference.  It might help with name awareness, but not to a significant extent.  Part of the reason is that there are competing slate mailers, part that they are so cheaply printed, and part that they offer no actual reasons why anyone should vote for any of the candidates.

Should Candidates Pay to be on Slate?

In general I would say the answer is “no”.  It’s definitely unethical for a candidate to pay to be on a slate that communicates a message different from her own or that attempts to deceive voters as to who is supporting her.  It’s less of an issue to pay to be on a slate that only includes certain candidates with common characteristics, such as “candidates endorsed by the Democratic Party”.

Another problem is that slate mailers associate a candidate with others who may have drastically different ideas that his own.  That association may end up being harmful.  There is also something unsavory about being on a slate that advocates positions on propositions that go against your own.

As you can see on the graphic above, I actually did appear on a commercial slate mailer on my last election, as part of a group of people running together for 10 available seats.  My group did not have to pay for placement (thus the lack of an asterisk) and this particular mailer is not particularly deceitful, but I’m still less than happy to have appeared on it – and I’m pretty sure it made little difference at the polls.

 This article was updated for the Nov. 2014 election

Oct 072012
 

San Leandro City Council incumbents rarely face serious competition in San Leandro.  If anyone bothers to run against an incumbent, chances are it will be someone who is doing little more than putting his or her name on the ballot.  Serious candidates usually wait until the incumbent is termed out.

School Board President Morgan Mack-Rose and Bal Theater owner Dan Dillman are hoping to beat the odds and become the second candidates in San Leandro history to unseat an incumbent.  Reed appears to be seriously concerned that Mack-Rose will.

The three candidates faced each other off at the Chamber of Commerce/League of Women’s Voters debate on September 25th.  Candidates for other districts participated as well, answering the exact same questions.  Here, I’m are the video clips from the forum, edited to only include the statement and answers from candidates for District 2.  You can see those from District 4 here.  The questions are not presented in the order they were asked or answered.

Incumbents for City Council seats tend to do better in fora because they know the job better.  This didn’t seem to be the case with respect to Ursula Reed who almost invariably had weaker answers that Mack-Rose.  Dan Dillman kept true to his platform of “changing the status quo”.  Full disclosure: he has my vote.

Opening Statements

“What are your specific proposals for raising revenue in the next four years?”

“What is your position on Measure L?”

“What will you do to help retain businesses?”

“With such high unemployment yet so much construction going on, would you support a program of San Leandro jobs for San Leandro people like Oakland’s recent initiative of Oakland jobs for Oakland people?”

“On police, fire, and employees’ pensions, should there be a top limit of $100,000 or $110,000?”

“What would you do to bring the many communities San Leandro together?”

“As an elected Councilmember, how would you assure that events like tonight have large attendance of students, especially high schools?”

Closing Statements